Archive for the 'International Business' Category

Fasten Your Safety Belt?

Financial TraderToday, the world’s biggest bank delivers dreadful results. Citigroup recorded a net loss of $9.8 billion, driven by a whopping $18.1 billion in pre-tax write-downs and credit costs on exposure to subprime mortgages.

Worse, it is no longer just collateralised-debt obligations and other complex securitised products that are hurting the world’s largest bank (by assets if no longer by market value). Credit cards and other consumer-finance businesses are deteriorating fast as America’s economy flirts with recession.

Capital markets around the world ended the day all in red digits. What more can we expect the upcoming weeks when other leading financials record their 4Q and FY2007 results? How much more write downs can capital markets digest? How can we fix it?

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The US$2500,- People’s Car

Tata Nano - World’s Cheapest Car - People’s CarThe moment has finally come. Today Tata has unveiled the world’s cheapest motor car. Tata’s stripped-down motor car will cost you around US$2,500 (100,000 Rupees), and it’s aimed at the company’s home market of India. But its popularity need not stop there.

This is not only a breakthrough from a price point perspective. It basically puts a car into the reach of people that previously only could dream of owning a scooter or moped. Nevertheless there are still billions of people who cannot afford an investment of $2500,-. In essence this is a car aimed at the world’s middle class. There are hundreds of millions of people who will be able to afford the People’s Car - in China, in Vietnam, in Pakistan, in coastal Africa…. They’ll buy, as long as the quality is reasonable and the car doesn’t become a laughingstock, like the old Yugo.

Furthermore, in affect, the People’s car will also change the competitive dynamics of the entire auto landscape. Everyone except the luxury car makers might want to think about entering this uncontested market segment. If Tata can sell a good product for US$2,500, then it will be able to keep moving its consumers up the economic motor car ladder, to a US$5,000 car, and then a US$10,000 car. When you consider a growing market of hundreds of millions worldwide, a little brand loyalty could go a long way.

Updated @ Jan 11th.: Interested in the applied cost-cutting tricks please follow this link.

Source BBC News & IHT.

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Climate change

Financial Times LogoThe Financial Times has a great news backgrounder on climate change. I just finished browsing and skimming the entire section and I thought let’s share the wealth. *click here*

Next to this great backgrounder I fancy the FT column Global Village. It features columns linking local culture, business, and politics.

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What’s next for oil prices?

Oil Barrel $100,-

Well, don’t say I didn’t warn you. Yesterday oil touches the $100 barrier and its front page news across the world. The primary question remains: Will it last? A long-term perspective demands that the world’s leading economies reduce their dependence on fossil fuels. However, the short-term imperative is still to find more of the stuff. Nevertheless, the main four influencers are: today’s demand, tomorrow’s demand, today’s supply and tomorrow’s supply.

It’s tough to make big changes in today’s demand; people would have to change their behaviour overnight to use less jet fuel gasoline, fuel oil, chemicals, plastics, etc. Tomorrow’s demand, on the other hand, is more malleable. E.g. creation of a new international agreement on climate change including both developed and developing nations, the new fuel standards in the United States, the shift to non-oil-based energy in Europe and Chinese efforts at conservation. In the meantime, however, the global economy is growing at about 4 percent per year - and demand for oil is likely to expand at least as quickly.

On the other side of the equation, today’s supply is already changing rapidly. Just this week, Iraq’s oil ministry predicted that its output this year would, at last, be higher than before the war. In addition, new oil supplies - even from high-cost sources - are coming online in big countries from Canada to Kazakhstan, and in small countries from Equatorial Guinea to East Timor. Supply tomorrow is a tougher nut to crack; so many geopolitical factors can affect it, to say nothing of the amount of oil actually left in the ground. But with peace, and with real changes in behaviour, oil need not see $100 again for a long time. Without them, we’ll keep checking off these landmarks: $110, $120, $130..

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Islamic banking takes off

Islamic Finance and BankingFormerly concentrated in North Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, Islamic banking is now spreading rapidly around the world. Attracted by a huge growth potential, international banks like Citigroup, HSBC, and Deutsche Bank are creating their own Islamic wings. In addition to Islamic loans, there are Islamic bonds, Islamic credit cards, and even Islamic derivatives. Loans and bonds that conform to the Koran are already available in the United States. Britain, Japan and Thailand are contemplating issuing Islamic bonds of their own.

Today, over 300 Islamic financial institutions are successfully running their businesses from Dubai, New York, Hong Kong, London and other financial centres around the world, and together hold at least $500 billion in assets. This amount is expected to increase with more than 10 percent a year (source).

Islamic banking refers to a system of banking or banking activity that is consistent with Islamic law (Sharia) principles and guided by Islamic economics. In particular, Islamic law prohibits usury, the collection and payment of interest, also commonly called riba in Islamic discourse. In addition, Islamic law prohibits investing in businesses that are considered unlawful, or haraam (such as businesses that sell alcohol or pork, or businesses that produce media such as gossip columns or pornography, which are contrary to Islamic values).

“This is an industry on its way from a niche industry to becoming a truly global industry,”. Khawaja Mohammad Salman Younis, the managing director for operations in Malaysia for Kuwait Finance House, the world’s second-largest Islamic bank, after Al-Rajhi Bank, told The International Herald Tribune. ” In the next three to five years you’ll see Islamic banks coming out in Australia, China, Japan and other parts of the world.”

All-in-all, before Islamic banking activities can really take off there need to be done an adjustment to the current regulatory environment. Research conducted by McKinsey emphasises on two areas of attention: general licensing policies and the role of governments in overseeing compliance with the Islamic code or Sharia. Notwithstanding, an influential propeller for the recent popularity of Islamic banking is the booming oil price (Source). As this is expected not to slow down in the forthcoming years it can only speed up the needed regulatory reforms and trigger further globalisation of Islamic banking.

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Ask a question: Nancy Birdsall (Center for Global Development)

Nancy Birdsall

Interested in posing a question to one of the leading thinkers in the sphere of international development: Nancy Birdsall, co-founder and president of the Center for Global Development. “CGD is an independent, not-for-profit think tank that works to reduce global poverty and inequality by encouraging policy change in the U.S. and other rich countries through rigorous research and active engagement with the policy community”.

Birdsall has spend most of her working career at the World Bank and her latest position was director, policy research department. From her vast experience at the World Bank she has first-hand knowledge on all ins and outs on how international institutions work. In her current position, she is able to present alternatives and cooperative ideas for the development community as a whole, with no vested interests.

If you are interested in asking her a question you can find instructions at the Managing Globalization blog of Daniel Altman.

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Globalisation & China

Shanghai Skyline

BBC News has published a special report on Globalisation. A concise explanation on globalisation can be found here. Part of this special report is devoted to Globalisation and China. The latest article on this topic is “China may let multinationals list“, authorities of the Shanghai stock exchange are considering to allow foreign multinationals with substantial business operations in China have a listing on the SH stock exchange.

Other appealing articles in this section are: “Shanghai: Creating a global city“, how China’s economic liberalisation forged a new Shanghai. “Hong Kong v Shanghai: Global Rivals“, a historical analysis and a sneak preview in the future on how these two cities will develop and position themselves at the world stage. “Can Shanghai turn green and grow“, elaborates on Shanghai’s balancing act in managing economic growth and quality of living.

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Leadership Power at Goldman Sachs

NYC Financial District

With the appointment of Mr. Thain as the new chief executive of Merrill Lynch, one fact becomes more and more apparent: Goldman Sachs is not only increasingly inescapable as financial power but also in fostering new leaders.

First of all Goldman Sachs is recording immense profits year after year and apparently avoided the woes besetting its rivals by deftly betting against subprime mortgages. Secondly for many years now, it is the world’s most premier and perennial leader in investment banking products and services. Lately it becomes apparent that they are also great in nurturing (new) great leaders.

With the appointment of Mr. Thain (currently CEO of NYSE-Euronext) as CEO at Merril Lynch, Goldman Sachs’ top executives and personnel seem to be increasingly in demand across the entire financial service industry. Thain started out on the bond desk at Goldman Sachs and left the firm as its chief operating officer. Please consider the names of Goldman alumni who have popped up in the news over the past few weeks (source):

  • Mr. Rubin, the former Goldman co-C.E.O. who became Treasury Secretary in the Clinton administration, is now Citi Group’s chairman.
  • Duncan L. Niederauer, Mr. Thain’s successor as chief executive of NYSE Euronext. Before joining the bourse in February as president and chief operating officer, he was a managing director and co-head of Goldman’s equities execution services.
  • Daniel Och, co-founder and head of Och-Ziff Capital Management, which on Wednesday became the first pure-play domestic hedge fund to go public in the United States. Former Goldman trader.
  • Robert Steel, Treasury undersecretary for domestic finance who helped direct the creation of a bailout vehicle for banks colloquially known as the Super-SIV (special investment vehicle). Former Goldman vice chairman under Mr. Paulson.
  • Robert S. Kaplan, interim head of the Harvard Management Company. A former vice chairman and head of Goldman’s investment banking and investment management businesses.
  • John L. Thornton, chairman of the Brookings Institution and longshot candidate for Citigroup’s CEO spot. A Goldman former president and co-chief executive alongside Mr. Thain.
  • Edward S. Lampert, hedge fund manager and chairman of Sears Holdings. A protégé of Mr. Rubin’s in the Goldman risk arbitrage department. (Admittedly, his name has come up because his investment in Citigroup appears to have lost money at the moment.)
  • J. Christopher Flowers, the head of J.C. Flowers & Company, which is now fighting over the buyout of Sallie Mae. Founded Goldman’s financial institutions merger practice.
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Something to be proud of…..

Global DevelopmentAccording to research conducted by the Center of Global Development (a think-tank), the Netherlands has the most effective policies to help the developing world. The report grades 21 rich countries on how well they support development. Each is assessed on seven areas including aid, trade, migration and the environment.

Netherlands is shortly followed by Denmark, Norway and Sweden. However there is still much room for improvement. Needless to say, rich countries can never do too much in improving the life of the lesser gifted ones.

Netherlands must make great improvement in the area of

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Shaking up the mobile phone industry?

Google Logo OriginalReflecting to Google’s activities over the past few months, it seems like they are putting infrastructure in place and gearing up resources to enter the mobile phone business (Google has long been rumored to be working on a mobile phone, or “gPhone”).

Earlier this week, Google announced that it had acquired Jaiku, a Finnish startup that lets people broadcast short updates about their locations and activities over the Web or to their friends’ cell phones (similar to Twitter), a concept called microblogging.

Furthermore, earlier this year, Google has announced its intention to bid on a large swath of spectrum in early 2008; it has acquired a mobile-phone software startup, Android, based in Palo Alto, CA; and in a handful of public statements, representatives of the company have alluded to trying to make the mobile experience better.

Basically its not the question anymore if Google will enter the mobile phone business but when and how? When will be probably somewhere beginning next year but HOW remains the biggest question mark! Many speculations are circling around but it is likely that Google is about to rewrite the rules of the (mobile) telecom industry.

In my previous post (Mobile advertising) I already wrote about the lucrative mobile advertising market which will open new opportunities. In light of this, and with respect to the ongoing rumours, Google is planning to offer a free mobile phone (gPhone) on which smart advertisement functionalities will turn your phone in a personal advisor (Will a Google phone change the game, BusinessWeek). Exciting times ahead of us!

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