Tag Archive for 'Globalisation'

Global Recession?

Global Recession?The International Monetary Fund has come out with its latest set of forecasts of the world economy. The report says at one point:

“The IMF staff now sees a 25 percent chance that global growth will drop to 3 percent or less in 2008 and 2009—equivalent to a global recession.”

Since when is 3% growth equivalent to a “global recession”? According to my textbook, periods of negative GDP growth are called recessions.

By this “new’ definition, the world economy has been in recession 1980-83, 1990-93, 1998, and 2001-2002. In other words, 11 out of the last 28 years. There are no negative years of world growth.

Here are the IMF’s latest world growth numbers, and forecasts out to 2013.
Annual World Economic Growth

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How GE Embraces the Forces of Globalisation

Jeffrey Immelt, CEO of GEIf you are interested in globalisation, you can hardly ignore the experiences of General Electric. Claudia Deutsch has written a fascinating article about the giant company’s journey from scepticism, to facing up to globalisation’s challenges, and now to become a truly global business in all facets.

“They are managing their worldwide organization as a network, not a centralized hub with foreign appendages,” said Christopher Bartlett, a professor at the Harvard Business School who has written several case studies on GE.

“Everyone talks about outsourcing manufacturing, but it is the high-level R&D jobs that are the great marketing tools, and I’m a salesman, remember. I know that you don’t get to sell things for long unless you are part of the culture into which you are selling.” Immelt said.

For example, GE Healthcare unit has already moved its headquarters to the London area, and another may follow soon. London, it turns out, is a better hub for global operations than Connecticut. If the whole company eventually follows, it won’t be the first time a Fortune 500 company has left the United States - and it certainly won’t be the last.

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Islamic banking takes off

Islamic Finance and BankingFormerly concentrated in North Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, Islamic banking is now spreading rapidly around the world. Attracted by a huge growth potential, international banks like Citigroup, HSBC, and Deutsche Bank are creating their own Islamic wings. In addition to Islamic loans, there are Islamic bonds, Islamic credit cards, and even Islamic derivatives. Loans and bonds that conform to the Koran are already available in the United States. Britain, Japan and Thailand are contemplating issuing Islamic bonds of their own.

Today, over 300 Islamic financial institutions are successfully running their businesses from Dubai, New York, Hong Kong, London and other financial centres around the world, and together hold at least $500 billion in assets. This amount is expected to increase with more than 10 percent a year (source).

Islamic banking refers to a system of banking or banking activity that is consistent with Islamic law (Sharia) principles and guided by Islamic economics. In particular, Islamic law prohibits usury, the collection and payment of interest, also commonly called riba in Islamic discourse. In addition, Islamic law prohibits investing in businesses that are considered unlawful, or haraam (such as businesses that sell alcohol or pork, or businesses that produce media such as gossip columns or pornography, which are contrary to Islamic values).

“This is an industry on its way from a niche industry to becoming a truly global industry,”. Khawaja Mohammad Salman Younis, the managing director for operations in Malaysia for Kuwait Finance House, the world’s second-largest Islamic bank, after Al-Rajhi Bank, told The International Herald Tribune. ” In the next three to five years you’ll see Islamic banks coming out in Australia, China, Japan and other parts of the world.”

All-in-all, before Islamic banking activities can really take off there need to be done an adjustment to the current regulatory environment. Research conducted by McKinsey emphasises on two areas of attention: general licensing policies and the role of governments in overseeing compliance with the Islamic code or Sharia. Notwithstanding, an influential propeller for the recent popularity of Islamic banking is the booming oil price (Source). As this is expected not to slow down in the forthcoming years it can only speed up the needed regulatory reforms and trigger further globalisation of Islamic banking.

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Ask a question: Nancy Birdsall (Center for Global Development)

Nancy Birdsall

Interested in posing a question to one of the leading thinkers in the sphere of international development: Nancy Birdsall, co-founder and president of the Center for Global Development. “CGD is an independent, not-for-profit think tank that works to reduce global poverty and inequality by encouraging policy change in the U.S. and other rich countries through rigorous research and active engagement with the policy community”.

Birdsall has spend most of her working career at the World Bank and her latest position was director, policy research department. From her vast experience at the World Bank she has first-hand knowledge on all ins and outs on how international institutions work. In her current position, she is able to present alternatives and cooperative ideas for the development community as a whole, with no vested interests.

If you are interested in asking her a question you can find instructions at the Managing Globalization blog of Daniel Altman.

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Globalisation & China

Shanghai Skyline

BBC News has published a special report on Globalisation. A concise explanation on globalisation can be found here. Part of this special report is devoted to Globalisation and China. The latest article on this topic is “China may let multinationals list“, authorities of the Shanghai stock exchange are considering to allow foreign multinationals with substantial business operations in China have a listing on the SH stock exchange.

Other appealing articles in this section are: “Shanghai: Creating a global city“, how China’s economic liberalisation forged a new Shanghai. “Hong Kong v Shanghai: Global Rivals“, a historical analysis and a sneak preview in the future on how these two cities will develop and position themselves at the world stage. “Can Shanghai turn green and grow“, elaborates on Shanghai’s balancing act in managing economic growth and quality of living.

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Current challenges in emerging markets

Emerging Markets

According to the 2007 annual study on Innovation in Emerging Markets by Deloitte’s Global Manufacturing Group, more than half of the companies surveyed fell short of their revenue or operational goals in emerging markets. The report points out challenges that companies are facing while operating in emerging markets. Identified challenges are in the areas of talent management, risk management and operating models.

However, conventional thinking about emerging markets has changed. No longer do manufacturers see operations in China or India simply as a means to lower global operating costs. Now places like Hungary, Vietnam and others are being added to the list of competitive markets as an avenue to achieve top line growth. Companies are able to leverage even more sophisticated capabilities in emerging markets to handle high-value activities. This is quickly changing the global competitive landscape.

I highly recommend following this link to read this report, because it evaluates some of the strategic areas that companies need to address to succeed and realise the enormous market potential of the developing economies in China, India, Southeast Asia, Eastern Europe, and Latin America. It also highlights some of the innovative strategies that successful companies are deploying to win the war for talent, manage risk and structure their operations to achieve their revenue and operating goals in emerging markets.

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Something to be proud of…..

Global DevelopmentAccording to research conducted by the Center of Global Development (a think-tank), the Netherlands has the most effective policies to help the developing world. The report grades 21 rich countries on how well they support development. Each is assessed on seven areas including aid, trade, migration and the environment.

Netherlands is shortly followed by Denmark, Norway and Sweden. However there is still much room for improvement. Needless to say, rich countries can never do too much in improving the life of the lesser gifted ones.

Netherlands must make great improvement in the area of

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Global India

Global IndiaInterested in India and it’s prosperous economy at large? Bored about superficial information, lacking depth and insights? The Times Online has devoted a special section entirely on India at large!

India’s economy is the second fastest-growing in the world, reporting GDP growth of more than 9 per cent a year, not far behind China, with more than 11 per cent growth. The United Nations predicts that by 2050 India will surpass China as the world’s most populous nation, partly because of China’s one-child policy and an improvement in India’s infant mortality rate. In this special section we explore the stories behind the facts. [Source]

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Global Cities

Currently Tate Modern (London) is hosting an exhibition on “Global Cities”. The exhibition explorers ten dynamic international cities upon five perspectives: speed, size, density, diversity, and form. When wandering around the exhibition it truly gave me stuff to think about.

More info on the Tate Modern “Global Cities” exhibition can be found on their website (includes video footage as well)
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Global Cities 1

Global Cities 2

Global Cities 3

Global Cities 4

Global Cities 5

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Dynamic Urbanism

Fast Cities

Every year Fast Company ranks cities across the globe along 9 categories: Creative-class Meccas, Green Leaders, Culture Centres, Global Villages, High-Tech Spots, Unexpected Oases, R&D Clusters, Urban Innovators, and Startup Hubs. This year’s list can be found here.

Surprisingly European cities are underexposed and so called “emerging economies” are represented well across all categories. In my opinion the list of high-tech spots is quite surprising.

Additionally, as the author Andrew Park points outYou’re smart, young, newly graduated from a university with the whole world before you. You could settle in a small town with well-tended lawns, pancake suppers, and life on a human scale. Or you could truck it to the big city, with all its din and dog-eat-dog lunacy. Your choice?

Exactly this choice is occupying my mind lately as I will graduate in one month! Shall I move to one of the Creative-class Meccas, Startup hubs, Global Villages or start off my working career in a more familiar sphere?

Fast Cities Promo

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