Tag Archive for 'Finance'

UBS’ Confession

UBS UBS AG together with Citigroup and Merrill Lynch are the top three losers of the US subprime mortgage crisis, together they wrote down US$106 billion to date.

During UBS’ annual meeting on Wednesday April 23rd in Basel, shareholders were asking just one question: How did UBS manage to lose $37 billion betting on American mortgage-backed assets, battering its core capital and share price in the process?

The UBS internal investigation report on the write-downs gives three broad explanations for the bank’s woes. The investment-banking arm’s preoccupation with growth, the reliance of the control team on flawed measures of risk, and the culture of the bank. A more detailed explanation on all three causes can be found here. The credit squeeze is graphically explained by the Financial Times here and by the BBC here.

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Wanna live the dream in The O.C?

Orange CountyNow is your chance! If you want to live the “O.C” lifestyle but don’t have the O.C. bucks, here’s your chance.

Despite its glamorous reputation as the place where great wealth meets great tans, Orange County, California, is ground zero for the housing bust.

Today there are more than 3.300 foreclosures in the area which makes it a great bargain, especially for Europeans with the weak US dollar. BusinessWeek listed the most expensive foreclosed properties coming to auction here. For a detailed report on The Other Orange Country you can follow this link.

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The Mood in The City

The mood in London financial markets is not good. House prices are going down, and with them the British pound. Investment bankers within UBS are looking around for jobs, and the Royal Bank of Scotland is sweeping ABN Amro’s trading floor clean with incredible lack of style:

ABN’s structured credit traders were apparently told on Thursday that they should report to RBS’ London office in preparation for a move there on Monday. Terminals needed to be checked and such like. And when they got there… they were all fired (full story).

Luckily, the British have a great sense of humour, and I couldn’t stop laughing at this economic assessment of London 2010 from the price of everything blog:

London, April 2010 – Wall Street firms have just announced their latest results for FY 2009;

300 million staff have been “written down”, leaving just two (Sid and Doris Bonkers) to manage the investment banks’ remaining worldwide debt, equity, merger and advisory, securitisation, syndication and prime brokerage businesses.

Marti Peeps, sole analyst at the last remaining research house, Teletext, welcomed the results as “a bold step in the face of ongoing bad debt provisioning,” though conceded that the City’s newly “rightsized” payroll might struggle to take on board the burgeoning supply of new issuance, namely the packet of Walkers Crisps rumoured to be hitting the primary market in late summer 2012.Hopes for a recovery in Wall Street earnings have for several quarters hinged on the prospects for the successful completion of a 40p private placement of a bag of Salt and Vinegar flavour crisps on behalf of the Walkers Crisps Company. Lead underwriters JPCitigroupMerrill, a subsidiary of the US government, and Northern Rock SocGen KFW Nomura, a wholly owned subsidiary of Tesco plc (Neasden branch), are rumoured to have “solid” interest for the underwriting, most notably from Asia, itself a subsidiary of Texas Pacific Group, but declined to go into further detail. (click here for pdf version. Enjoy!)

Update @ April 15th: London’s financial services sector faces a loss of 20,000 jobs over the next two years. Cuts by Citigroup and RBS are the tip of the iceberg (BusinessWeek).

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JPMorgan Chase

JPMorgan Chase M&A Bear Stearns

Fasten Your Safety Belt?

Financial TraderToday, the world’s biggest bank delivers dreadful results. Citigroup recorded a net loss of $9.8 billion, driven by a whopping $18.1 billion in pre-tax write-downs and credit costs on exposure to subprime mortgages.

Worse, it is no longer just collateralised-debt obligations and other complex securitised products that are hurting the world’s largest bank (by assets if no longer by market value). Credit cards and other consumer-finance businesses are deteriorating fast as America’s economy flirts with recession.

Capital markets around the world ended the day all in red digits. What more can we expect the upcoming weeks when other leading financials record their 4Q and FY2007 results? How much more write downs can capital markets digest? How can we fix it?

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Developing World Venture Capital

Kiva LoansMicro-loans made to third-world entrepreneurs are changing lives and fortunes around the world. CNBC published an article on success stories on Kiva’s microfinance loans here.

The Kiva wesite was founded by Jessica and Matt Flannery. They were newly weds - he a software engineer, she an MBA student at Stanford - who were convinced they could use the Internet to put people in need together with people willing to help. Anyway, this is how Kiva works.

Kiva Loan Cycle

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Islamic banking takes off

Islamic Finance and BankingFormerly concentrated in North Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, Islamic banking is now spreading rapidly around the world. Attracted by a huge growth potential, international banks like Citigroup, HSBC, and Deutsche Bank are creating their own Islamic wings. In addition to Islamic loans, there are Islamic bonds, Islamic credit cards, and even Islamic derivatives. Loans and bonds that conform to the Koran are already available in the United States. Britain, Japan and Thailand are contemplating issuing Islamic bonds of their own.

Today, over 300 Islamic financial institutions are successfully running their businesses from Dubai, New York, Hong Kong, London and other financial centres around the world, and together hold at least $500 billion in assets. This amount is expected to increase with more than 10 percent a year (source).

Islamic banking refers to a system of banking or banking activity that is consistent with Islamic law (Sharia) principles and guided by Islamic economics. In particular, Islamic law prohibits usury, the collection and payment of interest, also commonly called riba in Islamic discourse. In addition, Islamic law prohibits investing in businesses that are considered unlawful, or haraam (such as businesses that sell alcohol or pork, or businesses that produce media such as gossip columns or pornography, which are contrary to Islamic values).

“This is an industry on its way from a niche industry to becoming a truly global industry,”. Khawaja Mohammad Salman Younis, the managing director for operations in Malaysia for Kuwait Finance House, the world’s second-largest Islamic bank, after Al-Rajhi Bank, told The International Herald Tribune. ” In the next three to five years you’ll see Islamic banks coming out in Australia, China, Japan and other parts of the world.”

All-in-all, before Islamic banking activities can really take off there need to be done an adjustment to the current regulatory environment. Research conducted by McKinsey emphasises on two areas of attention: general licensing policies and the role of governments in overseeing compliance with the Islamic code or Sharia. Notwithstanding, an influential propeller for the recent popularity of Islamic banking is the booming oil price (Source). As this is expected not to slow down in the forthcoming years it can only speed up the needed regulatory reforms and trigger further globalisation of Islamic banking.

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PetroChina world’s most valuable company

PetroChina

And in a class all by itself, the US$1 trillion (1,000,000,000,000) club.

On Monday, the 4 billion A-share offering, priced at 16.7 yuan per share, finished its first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange at 43.96 yuan, rising as high as 48 yuan intraday. At US$1.005 trillion, PetroChina’s market cap is more than twice that of its US peer, Exxon Mobil (USD $486 billion), even though Exxon Mobil generated four times as much revenue last year and trades at only a quarter of PetroChina’s price to earning ratio, 13 to PetroChina’s 55.

But the craziness doesn’t end there. The lofty market cap comes with an asterisk: US$1 trillion only if you go by PetroChina’s local valuation. Shares traded overseas (Hong Kong and New York) values the company at roughly US$400 billion. One HK share (H-share) confers equity holders the same amount of ownership as one A-share, and one share of ADR traded on the NYSE grants 100 times as much ownership.

While PetroChina’s A share closed up today at 43.96 yuan, its H-share finished down 8.2 percent at HKD $18, or 17.65 yuan (1 yuan=1.02 HKD). The gaping difference is a function of many factors: Beijing’s restriction on capital flow, lack of investment choices in China, and of course, out-of-control greed coupled with widespread ignorance on the part of Chinese retail investors.

In a related story, billionaire investor Warren Buffet sold his entire PetroChina stake several months ago, calling the price action in China “carried away.”

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The New Kings of Capitalism?

Capatalism

I am not trying to make a political statement here, or whatsoever with the teaser and image headlining this blog entry. I just wanted to have a catchy and provocative picture accompanying the headline.

The private equity industry is growing at a stunning pace for several consecutive years in a row now, transforming the structure and balance of power in global business. Mark O’Hare, managing director of Private Equity Intelligence - a research group based in London - compiled a ranking of the fifteen largest private equity firms, based upon assets under management. Find here the ranking published by BusinessWeek.

In a previous post I wrote about the real soul of private equity firms. What is their real core business nowadays? With respect to the fact that, PE firms are broadening their service offerings to other areas of “high class” finance.

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Insight Companies….

BusinessWeek Company Insight Centre



I love BusinessWeek. Since two weeks or so, BusinessWeek has enhanced its webpage with introducing a new functionality: Company Insight Centre!

I must admit it really gets insight companies! You can lookup a wealth of endless information regarding companies, industries, and business people. Ranging from a complete financial data set of 350,000 companies, industry and sector performance, organisation structures, executive pays etc.

I truly love the functionality “financial ratios” within the section “financials” for any company. It not only displays the actual ratio for a specific company but it even plots a specific company ratio upon the related industry performance.

Checkout the financial ratios of Google (GOOG)
and its relative performance against industry competitors. Thus, thanks to BW, in a blink of an eye you can get a well rounded indication of any company performance!

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